Results Spectrum and EPP have now been combined into one software package to enhance ease of use and ensure consistent data and assumptions for the curve fitting and indicator estimations. Major enhancements to the methods include a new adult model that tracks the HIV+ population by CD4 count; new patterns describing child survival by time of infection (perinatally. Introduction The Joint United Nations Programme on HIV and AIDS (UNAIDS) projections of adult HIV prevalence and incidence are prepared using the Spectrum/Estimation and Projection Package (EPP) software to estimate prevalence and incidence trends from surveillance and survey data and to determine the consequences of these projections, including the number of people living with HIV by age and sex, new infections, AIDS deaths, AIDS orphans, the need for treatment and prophylaxis, and the impact of treatment. Earlier updates to Spectrum and EPP have been published previously.
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